Stats Review: Top 16 Preview

Jan 01, 2020 by Synergy Sports Technology Print
Stats Review: Top 16 Preview

Here’s a review of the current 7DAYS EuroCup landscape through the lens of statistics ahead of the Top 16.

One Stat Per Team: Group E

Group E features three teams that found similar success in overall efficiency margin in the regular season despite playing starkly different styles.

Partizan NIS Belgrade got off to a fast start by winning their first five games and allowing 0.81 points per possession overall. The top defense by the end of that stretch, Partizan allowed 0.93 points per possession over the back half of their regular-season schedule. Darussafaka Tekfen Istanbul ranked as the competition’s top half-court defense by a comfortable margin, allowing only 0.83 points per possession. Their 9.3% free throw rate allowed reflects their disciplined style.

Segafredo Virtus Bologna imposed their will on opposing teams offensively in the post as their big men shot a remarkably consistent 66% in back-to-the-basket situations. When their shooters make the most of their ability to play inside-out off their post touches, Virtus posted gaudy numbers on the offensive end. Dolomiti Energia Trento beat every team in Group D once. Amidst some strong performances on both ends, their ability to protect the rim was steadily a factor in their ability to win games as they allowed 68% shooting around the rim in the half-court in losses compared to 53% in wins.

ECE-stats

One Stat Per Team: Group F

Group F has four teams ranked on the extremes of offensive and defensive efficiency in the regular season which should make for some very interesting matchups.

Promitheas Partas has the EuroCup’s second-best efficiency differential in the regular season thanks in large part to their second-ranked offense. Creating 41% of their possessions out of the pick-and-roll and scoring a league-best 1.07 points per possession on those opportunities, Promitheas puts tremendous pressure on how opposing defenses gameplan and execute against their ball screens. Umana Reyer Venice finished as the EuroCup’s second-best defense due to their ability to close out shooters. No team in recent history has limited and defended catch-and-shoot opportunities like Reyer.

Germani Brescia Leonessa allowed a EuroCup-best 5.1 points per game in transition—the main reason they finished third in overall defensive efficiency. EWE Baskets Oldenburg finished third in offensive efficiency, hitting their stride after losing their first three games. They have some things to prove defensively but are one of the competition’s most balanced offensive teams ranking in the top-five in both post-up and pick-and-roll scoring efficiency.

ECF-stats

One Stat Per Team: Group G

Group G is the most tightly packed group in the Top-16 on paper.

UNICS Kazan claimed the top spot in the extremely competitive Group C. During their early five-game winning steak, they scored 1.04 points per short shot clock possession, but averaged 0.57 over their late three-game losing streak—the equivalent of ranking first and last in that metric this season. Galatasaray Doga Sigorta Istanbul earned a similarly hard-fought second-place finish thanks in some part to the EuroCup-leading 1.35 points per possession they scored in transition. Transition chances have been hard to come by this season, but no team exploited them as consistently as Galatasaray.

AS Monaco has forced turnovers on a EuroCup best 18.4% of the possessions they have faced thanks in large part to the fact that they press full court a top-ranked 24.3% of the time. Rytas Vilnius scored 1.02 points per possession over their last five games after scoring only 0.87 in the first half of the regular season. The difference: aggressiveness. Rytas’s shooters were efficient early on, but they fired away far more ambitiously down the stretch to tremendous effect.

ECG-stats

One Stat Per Team: Group H

Group H features three clubs from the Spanish League and four teams ranked in the top-10 in offensive efficiency.

MoraBanc Andorra has the highest efficiency differential of any team in the EuroCup this season thanks to the historic pace they have set offensively. Among the top perimeter shooting teams in recent history, Andorra has shot an unprecedented effective field goal percentage of 80% on unguarded catch-and-shoot jump shots. Unicaja Malaga had a unique and clear x-factor during the regular season. In wins, their roll men contributed 10.1 points per game. In losses, they contributed just 2.7 per game—the difference between ranking first and last in screener scoring. When Unicaja can find their footing in the pick-and-roll and get their big men involved, their offense has been a well-oiled machine.

Joventut Badalona has the EuroCup’s starkest jump-shooting profiles. They have shot an effective field goal percentage of 68% on unguarded catch-and-shoot jump shots in wins, but only 43% in losses. When their shooters run hot, it is often all at once. Tofas Bursa finished fourth in offensive efficiency, but last in defensive efficiency during the regular season. In the five games they won, they allowed only 0.92 points per possession defensively, which would have landed them in the top-10 overall.

ECH-stats